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Wednesday, February 20, 2008


What we are going to see in Cuba from now on, after Fidel Castro's resignation as President of the Council of State, is change disguised as continuity. The new leadership -Raul Castro, Carlos Lage, etc -- will start making small, incremental changes in the economy, but always claiming to be sticking to Fidel's wishes. They will even quote from Fidel's speeches (probably out of context) to do things that Fidel would never have done. What do you think? Will we see change disguised as continuity, or continuity disguised as change?


Anonymous Anonymous said...

Continuity and change.
Cuba is keeping the same politycal system but they will introduce economical changes.
As they take a new leader, changes and secrets conversations will be easier.
The leader, Raul Castro, is waiting for a new younger generation in the next Council of State. Strongest Men in Cuba are old. ┬┐but what does Raul thinks about his position?
I think Cuba is living a similar situation than Spain after Franco dies. But Castro lives. Anyway, It is needed to know what Cuban people wishes... is it impossible to know it?
A new generation in the Council of State will decide it next five years. Now, all of them will show the same oppinion, because of their own security.

4:50 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

It appears that Raul is less encumbered by idealogy than Fidel, and much more pragmatic.

Case in point: recent reports about Raul wishing to de-emphasize Venezuela and strengthening ties with Brazil, as it is now apparent that Chavez's ship is sinking fast. Lula is civilized and politically savvy (unlike Chavez). Lula will not take kindly to any behavior on Raul's part that will make him look bad.

If a "kinder, gentler" dictator is what Raul needs to be to keep the island under his thumb, that's what he'll become. But we should make no mistake about Raul Castro. He is every bit the monster that Fidel is.

10:32 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

I disagree. This smacks of continuity disguised as change. Hope I'm wrong.

5:41 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

A little of both. Remember, that while the people of Cuba want change, many will be satisfied with improvement of living conditions and a small loosening of repression. As much as Cubans want change, they are not interested in change for changes; sake. Even though Miami might wish to argue otherwise, the views within Cuba are not identical with those in Miami. Also, what Miami is invariably silent about, is the racial issue. Whatever the official statistics, Cuba on the ground is far more "negro" than "gallego." The black Cuban youth are those who feel most disenfranchised.

7:55 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...


I believe Raul will promote various initiatives that will slowly amount to change but only the minute Fidel becomes senile or dies. Until then, despite Raul's pragmatism and tolerance for criticism, he will not disappoint Fidel.

From: Nothing like the Gables

9:26 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

MANY cubans are simply scared of change, they have gotten accustomed to their daily LUCHA (an elegant word for survival by theft) - and lets not forget, GM has 350,000 employees and pays them decent wages and pensions, Fidel, Inc. has over a million robots and pays them nothing but rice and beans and 7 eggs per month. That-s a heck of a reason for the Miramar millionaires not to want CHANGE, are you kidding? they are raking it in - zero competition, zero payroll, 100% profit. Cuban artels, BOTH sides of the Florida Straights are making big money every day of the year, including the countless millions speed boat operators make from families paying 10k a pop to get their loved ones off the island.
U.S. policy towards Cuba is a sham - as is la revolucion. Raul Castro is but a cabbage patch dictator.

2:23 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Mr. Oppenheimer: Why dont't you go to your country (Argentina) to lick Cristinita's ...... Live us alone.

8:22 AM  
Blogger Jeff said...

Fidel must die first before Cuba can change. The old generation might always say they are following "the revolution" no matter what they do. The key phrase is that "no one can replace Fidel", so Cubans don't have to try, they can take a different path.

11:22 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Only time will tell on this one.

1:02 PM  

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