MY BET ON MEXICO’S ELECTION – AS OF MONDAY, 10:30 AM
MEXICO CITY – With the latest preliminary tally from the Federal Electoral Institute (IFE) showing government-backed candidate Felipe Calderon ahead by 1 percent of the vote with 96.6 % of the voting tables counted as of 10;30 am Monday, most pollsters say Calderon is the most likely winner of Sunday’s vote. Left-of-center candidate Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador would have to win the entire remaining 3.4 percent of the voting tables – something very unlikely, given that many of the still-to-be-counted voting places are in pro-Calderon states such as Jalisco. It now looks like the IFE will declare Calderon the winner later this week, Lopez Obrador will demand a recount and contest several polling sites results, and the issue will go to the electoral tribunal. This could take several days, or several weeks, to be resolved. I will update this later in the comments section.
posted by Andres Oppenheimer at 11:38 AM
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2 Comments:
Give us a break Paco. Essentially calling the Mexican (poor) PRD supporters dumb and guided "solely by their emotions" may be ok in PAN circles, but not here for all to read.
I didn't hear this kind of talk when it was the right in the Ukraine or Georgia proclaiming their victories, based on exit polls that showed them the winners (like censored polls did here... yes the Intelligence units called newscasters to tell them not to report polls that had ALMO on top).
What you can't understand is that this election IS a fight for many of the poor. Not because they are stupid, but because they are smart. The poor are tired of PAN and PRI's paternalism and want real action for their benefit. They don't want to wait 100 years for some crumbs of capitalism to tivkle down. They need housing, they need pensions, they need their rural communities protected from unfair competition.
And maybe suspicious woudn't be so high if ALMO and PRD hadn't had elections stolen from them before.
Recount figures released an hour ago show ALMO with the lead.... this is not over, depsite what the US press want to report.
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